Gaza

Kalevi Suomela

Israelin hyökkäys Gazaan on yleisesti todettu rajusti ylimitoitetuksi. Yleinen on ollut myös se ulkopuolisten reaktio, jossa vaaditaan osapuolia neuvottelemaan ja sopimaan aselevosta mahdollisimman nopeasti , jotta jo aiheutettua hirvittävää humanitaarista tragediaa Gazan ahtaalla ja ylikansoitetulla alueella ei pahennettaisi lisää.

Israelin Suomen suurlähettiläs Avi Granot on Helsingin Sanomien julkaisemassa kirjoituksessaan puolustellut hyökkäystä normaalina ja välttämättömänä toimena, johon jokainen suvereeni valtio ryhtyisi, jos sen alueelle - asutuksen keskelle - kohdistetaan päivästä toiseen raketti-iskuja, kuten Hamas on tehnyt sen jälkeen kun sen ja Israelin välinen tulitauko päättyi kuukausi sitten.

Kuluneen kahden viikon aikana, jonka konflikti on kestänyt, molemmilta osapuolilta on kuultu lausuntoja, jonka mukaan mihinkään neuvotteluihin ei ryhdytä ennen kuin ennakkoehdot on täytetty. Israelin ehto on, että raketti-iskut loppuvat. Hamasin ehto on, että palestiinalaisalueiden miehitys lopetetaan. Israel on ilmoittanut tavoitteekseen Hamasin sotilaallisen kyvyn täydellisen tuhoamisen. Umpikuja?

Pelkästään sotilaallisen toiminnan logiikalla toimien varmasti ollaankin umpikujassa ja molemminpuolinen koston kierre jatkuu ikuisesti. Ratkaisua on haettava poliittisesti. Mitkä ovat poliittisen ratkaisun mahdollisuudet, ehdot ja polut?

Perusongelma on, että sekä Israelin että Palestiinan puolella on vahva siipi fundamentalisteja. Osalle israelilaisia koko Palestiina on "luvattu maa". Aidon Israelin tulisi siis käsittää kaikki Israelin nykyisin miehittämät palestiinalaisalueet Gaza mukaan lukien. Vastaavasti on olemassa palestiinalaiskanta, joka nyt olennoituu poliittisesti Hamasiin, jonka mukaan juutalaisella Israelilla ei ole mitään olemassa olon oikeutta. Koko alue kuuluu arabeille.

Oikein pitkässä historiassa tarkastellen alue on ollut sekä juutalaisten että arabien asuttama. Kummankaan puolen fundamentalistit eivät siis saa tukea historiasta - elleivät tulkitse sitä tarkoitushakuisesti ja valikoiden omaksi edukseen. Historia "lupaa" maan molemmille.

Niin neuvoo myös käytännön poliittinen järki. Historian kelloa ei voi kääntää taaksepäin. Emme ole enää vuodessa 1948, vaan elämme vuotta 2009. Israel on aivan varmasti olemassa jäädäkseen. Mutta niin on myös palestiinalaishallinto ja tuleva Palestiinan valtio.

Vuoden 1948 tienoilla - sekä sitä ennen että sen jälkeen - oli olemassa sekä juutalaisia että palestiinalaisia, jotka ajoivat yhteisen demokraattisen valtion perustamista. Sen kansallis- ja kieliongelmia olisi hallinnoitu jotakuinkin samanlaisella mallilla, jolla Suomessa on järjestetty suomenkielisten ja ruotsinkielisten väliset suhteet. Silloin tuossa tavoitteessa oli vielä hitunen poliittista realismia. Kuusikymmentä vuotta verenvuodatusta puolin ja toisin on työntänyt yhteisen demokraattisen valtion mahdollisuuden kaukaisten tulevaisuuden utopioiden joukkoon.

Monissa kansainvälisissä neuvotteluprosesseissa on päädytty kahden valtion malliin. Kansainvälisessä mielipiteessä, joka pitää sisällään YK:n, EU:n, Venäjän, sekä myös USA:n ja arabimaat asiasta vallitsee konsensus - ehkä hauras, mutta joka tapauksessa konsensus. Konsensuksessa ovat mukana myös virallinen palestiinalaishallinto ja virallisesti myös Israelin nykyinen hallitus.

Gazan kriisi sinänsä tuskin ratkeaa tulitaukoa pidemmälle. Oleellista on, että se kiirehtii koko Israel vastaan palestiinalaiset -kiistan pikaista ratkaisua. Kaikkien tulisi ymmärtää, että hälytyskellot soivat kutsuaan nyt lujaa ja vaativasti. Kansainvälisen yhteisön on toimittava.

Israelilaisille on tehtävä välittömästi selväksi, että Gazan operaatio ei saa mitään tukea kansainväliseltä oikeudelta; se loukkaa sitä. Israel ei voi suhteessa Hamasiin esiintyä kuin vieraaseen suvereeniin valtioon. Israel on palestiinalaisalueiden miehittäjä. Kansainvälisen oikeuden mukaan sen ensisijainen velvoite on suojella miehittämiensä alueiden väestöä.

Sillä neuvottelujen tiellä, jonka päässä Palestiinan valtio saa Israelin ja maailman muiden valtioiden tunnustuksen itsenäisyydelleen, on monta ongelmaa: Israelin vastuuttomasti perustamat laittomat siirtokunnat miehitysalueella, Jerusalemin hallinnon järjestäminen, sekä palestiinalaispakolaisten oikeus paluuseen ja/tai korvauksiin ovat tärkeimpien ongelmaryhmien nimilappuja.

Katseet kohdistuvat nyt Tony Blairiin, joka on ns. kvartetin - YK, EU, USA, Venäjä - valitsema edustaja. Hänellä on näytön paikka. Kuten presidentti Martti Ahtisaari totesi Nobel-puheessaan, Israelin-Palestiinan konflikti on aikakautemme avainkonflikti, jonka ratkeaminen auttaa ratkaisemaan monia muita ongelmia Lähi-idässä ja muuallakin. Se, kuten kaikki muutkin konfliktit, on ratkaistavissa. Siihen tarvitaan vain ennen kaikkea poliittista tahtoa.

Jää siis nähtäväksi, onko Gaza alku irti pääsevälle eskaloituvalle militaristiselle hulluudelle, vai ratkaiseva käännekohta Israelin ja Palestiinan konfliktin pysyvän ratkaisun aikaansaamisessa.

 

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